VPS 2-0 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 25 Jan 2025

VPS
2-0 HT 0-0
Jaro
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.06/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.00
-34% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jaro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2021 VPS VPS 0-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FINY
28.07.2021 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
23.05.2021 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN2
20.02.2021 VPS VPS 3-1 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİK
30.09.2020 VPS VPS 1-3 HT 0-2 Jaro Jaro FİN2
05.08.2020 Jaro Jaro 6-1 HT 3-0 VPS VPS FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
2-0
AWAY Jaro
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH VPS vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS got the better of Jaro 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had VPS as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, VPS had 60% of the ball to Jaro's 40%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for VPS and 2.17 for Jaro.

What was the final score of VPS vs Jaro?

VPS 2-0 Jaro in the Finland - League Cup on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split VPS 47%, draw 28%, Jaro 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VPS), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VPS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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