Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 Gol Gohar Sirjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
35%
2.61
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
73%
1.18
Over
27%
4.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.95
No
68%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1
50%
1.48
2-3
32%
2.02
4-5
12%
11.0
6+
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 73%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Draw Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.1pp
35%
Draw
36%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.5pp
73%
Under 2.5
82%
-8.2pp
27%
Over 2.5
18%
+8.2pp
32%
BTTS Yes
30%
+2.1pp
68%
BTTS No
70%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gol Gohar Sirjan EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +18%
0.66/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.40
-5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +90%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Gol Gohar Sirjan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.12.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan IRAN
22.08.2024 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan 2-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
28.05.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan IRAN
18.04.2024 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan 2-2 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
24.12.2023 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan 1-1 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
03.11.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 HT 1-0 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Gol Gohar Sirjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan and Gol Gohar Sirjan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 35% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (73%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.00 for Gol Gohar Sirjan.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Gol Gohar Sirjan?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 Gol Gohar Sirjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Gol Gohar Sirjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 31%, draw 35%, Gol Gohar Sirjan 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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