Shabab Baalbeck 1-0 Shabab Al Ghazieh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.6pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Baalbeck EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ghazieh EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
343 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Shabab Baalbeck vs Shabab Al Ghazieh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Baalbeck nicked a narrow win over Shabab Al Ghazieh 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Shabab Baalbeck made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Shabab Baalbeck vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?

Shabab Baalbeck 1-0 Shabab Al Ghazieh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Baalbeck vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabab Al Ghazieh win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shabab Baalbeck 38%, draw 23%, Shabab Al Ghazieh 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shabab Al Ghazieh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shabab Al Ghazieh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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