Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 4-3 Çankaya FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.67
Over
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Çankaya FK The Market 17%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.14/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/3.15
+13% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -48%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Çankaya FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
14.09.2024 Çankaya FK Çankaya FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor S3-2
05.09.2015 Çankaya FK Çankaya FK 2-1 HT 0-1 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor S3-2
POST-MATCH Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Çankaya FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor nicked a narrow win over Çankaya FK 4-3. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Çankaya FK led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor and 1.50 for Çankaya FK.

What was the final score of Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Çankaya FK?

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 4-3 Çankaya FK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Çankaya FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 57%, draw 26%, Çankaya FK 17%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →