Bolivya U20 1-2 Ekvador U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
55%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
19%
+8.4pp
55%
Away Win
67%
-11.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.2pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivya U20 EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvador U20 EU Bookmakers 71%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.13/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.13
-100% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
217 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
10.0 Crosses 10.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivya U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ekvador U20
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 1.30
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
182 Passes 395
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.01.2023 Bolivya U20 Bolivya U20 0-1 HT 0-0 Ekvador U20 Ekvador U20 SUD20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivya U20
1-2
AWAY Ekvador U20
0.58 xG 1.64
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
185 Passes 313
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bolivya U20 vs Ekvador U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvador U20 squeezed past Bolivya U20 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ekvador U20 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bolivya U20 had 39% of the ball to Ekvador U20's 61%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.58 to 1.64.

What was the final score of Bolivya U20 vs Ekvador U20?

Bolivya U20 1-2 Ekvador U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivya U20 vs Ekvador U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ekvador U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bolivya U20 17%, draw 28%, Ekvador U20 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekvador U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ekvador U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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