Aston Villa (K) 1-4 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 25 Jan 2026

Aston Villa (K)
1 - 4 HT 1 - 1
Manchester United (K)
📅25/01/2026 · 🕒14:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2025/2026

Aston Villa (K) vs Manchester United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.14
Over Pick
61%
1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
43%
4-5
29%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
2%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Aston Villa (K) v Manchester United (K) — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Aston Villa (K) The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) The Market 53%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.46 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.87
2.03 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
– Attack Strength Great
– Defense Strength Average
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
– Crosses 12
– Yellow Cards 1

Aston Villa (K) vs Manchester United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Manchester United (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.11.2025 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL
23.03.2025 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) 0-4 HT 0-3 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
10.11.2024 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL

Aston Villa (K) 1-4 Manchester United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa (K)
1 - 4
AWAY Manchester United (K)
0.67 xG 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
249 Passes 363
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Aston Villa (K) vs Manchester United (K)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Manchester United (K) swept aside Aston Villa (K) 4-1 on the road. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester United (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Manchester United (K) saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.67 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Aston Villa (K) against 1.33 for Manchester United (K).

Aston Villa (K) vs Manchester United (K) Result & Final Score

Aston Villa (K) 1 - 4 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aston Villa (K) vs Manchester United (K) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 25%, draw 24%, Manchester United (K) 51%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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