Shanghai Port 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Stats & Model Review (China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 25 Feb 2024)

Shanghai Port

0-1 HT 0-0

Shanghai Shenhua

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗

China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Shanghai Port vs Shanghai Shenhua Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

45%

2.27

Draw

18%

3.18

Away

37%

2.79

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42%

1.74

Over 2.5

58%

2.0

Both Teams to Score

Yes

54%

1.81

46%

1.9

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

24%

2.87

2-3 Goals

39%

1.77

4-5 Goals

21%

4.06

6+ Goals

16%

19.1

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

22%

3.47

1/2

33.5

1/X

13.25

X/1

13%

5.07

X/2

13%

5.87

X/X

4.19

2/1 EV+ ✗

10%

29.5

2/2

17%

4.28

2/X

13.4

Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 10% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

45%

Home Win

40%

+4.6pp

18%

Draw

28%

-9.3pp

37%

Away Win

32%

+4.7pp

42%

Under 2.5

54%

-12.2pp

58%

Over 2.5

46%

+12.2pp

54%

BTTS Yes

51%

+2.3pp

46%

BTTS No

49%

-2.3pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shanghai Port v Shanghai Shenhua — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 44%

Head to Head

AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 36%

-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%

1.06/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.91

-37% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +28%

49% Ball Possession 51%

14 Total Shots 13

5 Shots on Target 4

5 Corners 5

346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%

15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9

19.3 Crosses 18.5

1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Shanghai Port vs Shanghai Shenhua Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Shanghai Port

2W-3D-1L

AWAY Shanghai Shenhua

2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00

1.16 xG 1.53

66% Ball Possession 34%

10 Total Shots 13

2 Shots on Target 5

6 Corners 2

525 Passes 220

87% Pass Accuracy 73%

22 Box Touches 16

24 Crosses 13

1 Yellow Cards 2

The Meetings

29.07.2023 Shanghai Shenhua

0-5 HT 0-2

Shanghai Port ÇİNSL

30.04.2023 Shanghai Port

1-1 HT 1-0

Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN

29.06.2022 Shanghai Port

1-1 HT 0-1

Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN

08.06.2022 Shanghai Shenhua

2-0 HT 0-0

Shanghai Port ÇİN

07.11.2021 Shanghai Port

1-1 HT 0-0

Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNK

03.11.2021 Shanghai Shenhua

1-5 HT 1-3

Shanghai Port ÇİNK

Shanghai Port 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Shanghai Port

0-1

AWAY Shanghai Shenhua

1.14 xG 2.73

60% Ball Possession 40%

16 Total Shots 15

2 Shots on Target 4

4 Corners 2

414 Passes 261

82% Pass Accuracy 76%

21 Box Touches 20

23 Crosses 14

4 Yellow Cards 4

POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Shanghai Shenhua

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua squeezed past Shanghai Port 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Shanghai Port at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 60% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 40%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.14 to 2.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shanghai Shenhua's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.00 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Shanghai Port 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 45%, draw 18%, Shanghai Shenhua 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes

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