Motherwell 1-3 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 25 Feb 2024

Motherwell
1-3 HT 1-0
Celtic
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Motherwell vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.4
2-3 Goals
41%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
12.2
1/2
8%
20.6
1/X
8%
19.95
X/1
7%
16.8
X/2
15%
3.64
X/X
10%
7.81
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
35%
1.58
2/X
5%
19.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
13%
+5.2pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
58%
Away Win
69%
-11.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Motherwell v Celtic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 75%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
0.80/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/0.77
+1% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -5%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
193 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 80%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.1
17.4 Crosses 24.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3

Motherwell vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Celtic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.52 xG 2.67
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
150 Passes 569
60% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 40
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
30.09.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
22.04.2023 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
09.11.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
19.10.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 0-4 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKLK
01.10.2022 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP

Motherwell 1-3 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
1-3
AWAY Celtic
0.69 xG 2.87
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
155 Passes 573
53% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 46
11 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic saw off Motherwell 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Motherwell had 29% of the ball to Celtic's 71%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.69 to 2.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Motherwell and 2.00 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Celtic?

Motherwell 1-3 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 18%, draw 23%, Celtic 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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