Atletico Baleares 0-1 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
6%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 33% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
53%
Away Win
61%
-8.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 66%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.00/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.01
-100% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -15%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Baleares
1W-1D-3L
AWAY CD Castellon
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.11.2023 CD Castellon CD Castellon 4-2 HT 2-2 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
19.02.2023 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
11.09.2022 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
08.05.2022 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
31.10.2021 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Baleares
0-1
AWAY CD Castellon
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Baleares vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon squeezed past Atletico Baleares 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Baleares had 43% of the ball to CD Castellon's 57%, shots finished 6-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, CD Castellon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Atletico Baleares and 1.80 for CD Castellon.

What was the final score of Atletico Baleares vs CD Castellon?

Atletico Baleares 0-1 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Baleares vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Atletico Baleares 21%, draw 25%, CD Castellon 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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