Modena 0-0 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Feb 2024

Modena
0-0 HT 0-0
Spezia
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Modena vs Spezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.5
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
12%
4.64
X/2
12%
6.24
X/X
14%
4.03
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
15%
4.88
2/X
5%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Modena v Spezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.18/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.25
-10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
20.7 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Modena vs Spezia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Spezia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.70 xG 1.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
348 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.12.2023 Spezia Spezia 1-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
12.03.2016 Spezia Spezia 2-0 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
27.10.2015 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 0-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
21.02.2015 Spezia Spezia 3-2 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
27.09.2014 Modena Modena 2-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
03.06.2014 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB

Modena 0-0 Spezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
0-0
AWAY Spezia
1.52 xG 0.16
75% Ball Possession 25%
31 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 0
527 Passes 139
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
56 Box Touches 11
43 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Modena vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena and Spezia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Modena at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Modena had 75% of the ball to Spezia's 25%, shots finished 31-3, expected goals 1.52 to 0.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Modena and 1.17 for Spezia.

What was the final score of Modena vs Spezia?

Modena 0-0 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Modena 42%, draw 26%, Spezia 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Modena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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