Caldiero Terme 3-2 Legnano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
49%
4-5
12%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
36%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldiero Terme The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnano The Market 40%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.76/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+49% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldiero Terme
3-2
AWAY Legnano
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Caldiero Terme vs Legnano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldiero Terme squeezed past Legnano 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Caldiero Terme as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caldiero Terme had 64% of the ball to Legnano's 36%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Caldiero Terme vs Legnano?

Caldiero Terme 3-2 Legnano in the Italy - Serie D on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldiero Terme vs Legnano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldiero Terme win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Caldiero Terme 45%, draw 29%, Legnano 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldiero Terme) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caldiero Terme) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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