Città Di Sant Agata 1-0 La Fenice Amaranto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
Over
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
37%
4-5
15%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Città Di Sant Agata The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY La Fenice Amaranto The Market 23%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.00/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-100% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Città Di Sant Agata
1W-0D-0L
AWAY La Fenice Amaranto
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
22.10.2023 La Fenice Amaranto 1-2 HT 1-1 Città Di Sant Agata İTD
POST-MATCH Città Di Sant Agata vs La Fenice Amaranto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Città Di Sant Agata nicked a narrow win over La Fenice Amaranto 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Città Di Sant Agata as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Città Di Sant Agata vs La Fenice Amaranto?

Città Di Sant Agata 1-0 La Fenice Amaranto in the Italy - Serie D on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Città Di Sant Agata vs La Fenice Amaranto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Città Di Sant Agata win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Città Di Sant Agata 48%, draw 23%, La Fenice Amaranto 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Città Di Sant Agata), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Città Di Sant Agata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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25 Feb 2024
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