Borussia Dortmund U19 3-1 Arminia Bielefeld U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
21%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-16.7pp
16%
Draw
14%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
6%
+14.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund U19 EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld U19 EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
435 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
16.09.2023 Arminia Bielefeld U19 Arminia Bielefeld U19 0-2 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund U19 Borussia Dortmund U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund U19
3-1
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld U19
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund U19 got the better of Arminia Bielefeld U19 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Borussia Dortmund U19 as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund U19 had 53% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld U19's 47%, shots finished 19-18.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19?

Borussia Dortmund U19 3-1 Arminia Bielefeld U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund U19 63%, draw 16%, Arminia Bielefeld U19 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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