Pas de la Casa 0-1 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+6.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pas de la Casa EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 59%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.00
-36% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pas de la Casa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-0 HT 1-0 Pas de la Casa AND
POST-MATCH Pas de la Casa vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada nicked a narrow win over Pas de la Casa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Penya Encarnada as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Pas de la Casa vs Penya Encarnada?

Pas de la Casa 0-1 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pas de la Casa vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penya Encarnada win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Pas de la Casa 28%, draw 20%, Penya Encarnada 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penya Encarnada) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penya Encarnada) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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