Admira Wacker 3-2 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 25 Feb 2024

Admira Wacker
3-2 HT 1-1
Ried
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Admira Wacker vs Ried Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 31% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
5.57
1/2
12%
26.5
1/X
8%
14.75
X/1
12%
7.07
X/2
25%
4.28
X/X
11%
4.4
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
9%
2.78
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Admira Wacker v Ried — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 50%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
0.99/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.13
-18% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
304 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
– Crosses 26.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Admira Wacker vs Ried Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Admira Wacker
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ried
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.43 xG 0.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 282
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.08.2023 Ried Ried 2-2 HT 2-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
26.04.2022 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 0-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AVU
12.03.2022 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 2-0 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AVU
06.11.2021 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-2 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AVU
07.08.2021 Ried Ried 2-1 HT 2-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AVU
11.05.2021 Ried Ried 0-0 HT 0-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AVU

Admira Wacker 3-2 Ried — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Admira Wacker
3-2
AWAY Ried
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Admira Wacker vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Admira Wacker nicked a narrow win over Ried 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ried at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Admira Wacker had 54% of the ball to Ried's 46%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ried led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Admira Wacker and 1.17 for Ried.

What was the final score of Admira Wacker vs Ried?

Admira Wacker 3-2 Ried in the Austria - 1st Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Admira Wacker vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Admira Wacker 28%, draw 26%, Ried 46%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ried) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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