Independente AP 3-0 Ypiranga AP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Amapaense, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over Pick
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
47%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independente AP The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ypiranga AP The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +135% / -66%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independente AP
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ypiranga AP
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.05.2023 Independente AP Independente AP 3-1 Ypiranga AP Ypiranga AP BRAMP
01.06.2022 Ypiranga AP Ypiranga AP 2-1 Independente AP Independente AP BRAMAP
05.08.2021 Independente AP Independente AP 1-0 Ypiranga AP Ypiranga AP BRAMAP
POST-MATCH Independente AP vs Ypiranga AP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independente AP swept aside Ypiranga AP 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independente AP as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Independente AP had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Independente AP and 1.00 for Ypiranga AP.

What was the final score of Independente AP vs Ypiranga AP?

Independente AP 3-0 Ypiranga AP in the Brazil - Amapaense on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independente AP vs Ypiranga AP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independente AP win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Independente AP 49%, draw 23%, Ypiranga AP 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independente AP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independente AP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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