Anapolis 4-0 Jataiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Goiano 1, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
46%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over Pick
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
41%
4-5
23%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anapolis The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Jataiense The Market 58%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-85% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anapolis
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Jataiense
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
13.02.2022 Jataiense Jataiense 0-1 HT 0-1 Anapolis Anapolis BRGO1
10.02.2022 Anapolis Anapolis 1-1 HT 0-0 Jataiense Jataiense BRGO1
15.04.2021 Jataiense Jataiense 1-0 HT 0-0 Anapolis Anapolis BRGO1
06.04.2021 Anapolis Anapolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Jataiense Jataiense BRGO1
POST-MATCH Anapolis vs Jataiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anapolis cruised past Jataiense 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jataiense at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Anapolis had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Anapolis and 0.50 for Jataiense.

What was the final score of Anapolis vs Jataiense?

Anapolis 4-0 Jataiense in the Brazil - Goiano 1 on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anapolis vs Jataiense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jataiense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Anapolis 29%, draw 25%, Jataiense 46%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Jataiense), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jataiense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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BRGO1 More Brazil - Goiano 1
25 Feb 2024
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