Monte Azul 1-1 Noroeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A2, 25 Feb 2024

Monte Azul
1-1
Noroeste
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Paulista A2 – 2024

Monte Azul vs Noroeste Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
42%
4-5
15%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monte Azul v Noroeste — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monte Azul The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Noroeste The Market 43%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-100% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / -50%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Monte Azul 1-1 Noroeste — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monte Azul
1-1
AWAY Noroeste
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Monte Azul vs Noroeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monte Azul and Noroeste couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Monte Azul had 46% of the ball to Noroeste's 54%, shots finished 16-16.

What was the final score of Monte Azul vs Noroeste?

Monte Azul 1-1 Noroeste in the Brazil - Paulista A2 on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monte Azul vs Noroeste?

Before kick-off our model rated an Noroeste win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Monte Azul 35%, draw 28%, Noroeste 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Noroeste), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Noroeste) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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