Marilia vs Sertaozinho Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marilia v Sertaozinho — Team-Based Signals
Marilia vs Sertaozinho Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Marilia edged past Sertaozinho 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Marilia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marilia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marilia and 0.50 for Sertaozinho.
What was the final score of Marilia vs Sertaozinho?
Marilia 1-0 Sertaozinho in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marilia vs Sertaozinho?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marilia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marilia 39%, draw 23%, Sertaozinho 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marilia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.