25/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Kayanza United vs Aigle Noir Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
15%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
33%
Draw
25%
34%
Away Win
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kayanza United v Aigle Noir — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kayanza United
EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY
Aigle Noir
EU Bookmakers 43%
+48% /
+48%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-6%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.65/1.32
+60%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+41%
/
+70%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
9
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
308 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
378 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kayanza United vs Aigle Noir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kayanza United and Aigle Noir shared the points in a 2-2 draw.
Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Kayanza United vs Aigle Noir?
Kayanza United 2-2 Aigle Noir in the Burundi - League A on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kayanza United vs Aigle Noir?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aigle Noir win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Kayanza United 33%, draw 33%, Aigle Noir 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Aigle Noir)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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BUR
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25 Feb 2024