25/02/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Vitalo FC vs Tigre Noir Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
40%
23%
Draw
24%
28%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitalo FC v Tigre Noir — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vitalo FC
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tigre Noir
EU Bookmakers 40%
+47% /
+47%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+146%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
14
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
6
288 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
346 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Vitalo FC vs Tigre Noir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vitalo FC swept aside Tigre Noir 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vitalo FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Vitalo FC vs Tigre Noir?
Vitalo FC 3-0 Tigre Noir in the Burundi - League A on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitalo FC vs Tigre Noir?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitalo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vitalo FC 49%, draw 23%, Tigre Noir 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitalo FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Vitalo FC)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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BUR
More Burundi - League A
25 Feb 2024