Hobro IK 0-2 FC Fredericia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 25 Feb 2024

Hobro IK
0-2 HT 0-1
FC Fredericia
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2023/2024

Hobro IK vs FC Fredericia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
16.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.85
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
13%
5.58
X/2
11%
5.48
X/X
7%
4.31
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
24%
3.75
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hobro IK v FC Fredericia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.16/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.25
-31% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
21.3 Crosses 15.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2

Hobro IK vs FC Fredericia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Fredericia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 0.87
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
330 Passes 461
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.07.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-2 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
05.05.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 2-2 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
23.04.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
23.10.2022 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-0 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
11.09.2022 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
11.03.2022 Hobro IK Hobro IK 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1

Hobro IK 0-2 FC Fredericia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
0-2
AWAY FC Fredericia
1.59 xG 0.99
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
325 Passes 472
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 23
34 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs FC Fredericia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fredericia got the better of Hobro IK 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Fredericia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hobro IK had 44% of the ball to FC Fredericia's 56%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.59 to 0.99 — on chances, Hobro IK could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hobro IK and 1.17 for FC Fredericia.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs FC Fredericia?

Hobro IK 0-2 FC Fredericia in the Denmark 1st Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs FC Fredericia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Fredericia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 35%, draw 23%, FC Fredericia 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Fredericia) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Fredericia) ✗ BTTS Yes
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