FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Super Cup, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.4pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Trans Narva
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
63% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
23.07.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-4 HT 0-3 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
03.06.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-2 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTK
23.05.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
14.03.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 5-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
17.09.2022 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2-2
AWAY Trans Narva
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn and Trans Narva couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Flora Tallinn at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 44% of the ball to Trans Narva's 56%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.17 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?

FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Super Cup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 45%, draw 30%, Trans Narva 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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