Chabab Ben Guerir 1-2 Olympique Dcheira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.41
Over 2.5
29%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.3pp
36%
Draw
31%
+5.7pp
20%
Away Win
26%
-5.4pp
71%
Under 2.5
67%
+3.6pp
29%
Over 2.5
33%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympique Dcheira EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.61/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.29
-52% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Olympique Dcheira
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
23.09.2023 Olympique Dcheira 0-1 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
19.03.2023 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 HT 0-1 Olympique Dcheira FAS2
09.10.2022 Olympique Dcheira 1-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
POST-MATCH Chabab Ben Guerir vs Olympique Dcheira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympique Dcheira edged past Chabab Ben Guerir 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chabab Ben Guerir at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chabab Ben Guerir and 0.67 for Olympique Dcheira.

What was the final score of Chabab Ben Guerir vs Olympique Dcheira?

Chabab Ben Guerir 1-2 Olympique Dcheira in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Ben Guerir vs Olympique Dcheira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chabab Ben Guerir win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chabab Ben Guerir 43%, draw 36%, Olympique Dcheira 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chabab Ben Guerir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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