SJK Akatemia 1-2 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 25 Feb 2024

SJK Akatemia
1-2 HT 0-1
Jaro
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - Ykköscup – 2024

SJK Akatemia vs Jaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.66
No
58%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
7%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
50%
Away Win
50%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.7pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SJK Akatemia v Jaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 55%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

SJK Akatemia vs Jaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Akatemia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.06.2023 Jaro Jaro 0-1 HT 0-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
14.04.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
20.07.2022 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
02.07.2022 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-3 HT 1-3 Jaro Jaro FİN2
20.10.2020 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-3 HT 1-3 Jaro Jaro FİN2
16.08.2020 Jaro Jaro 3-0 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
POST-MATCH SJK Akatemia vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro nicked a narrow win over SJK Akatemia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SJK Akatemia and 1.67 for Jaro.

What was the final score of SJK Akatemia vs Jaro?

SJK Akatemia 1-2 Jaro in the Finland - Ykköscup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Akatemia vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split SJK Akatemia 26%, draw 24%, Jaro 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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