25/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Bretigny Foot vs Orléans II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over Pick
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
36%
4-5
19%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
42%
Home Win
31%
23%
Draw
23%
35%
Away Win
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bretigny Foot v Orléans II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bretigny Foot
The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY
Orléans II
The Market 50%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-63% /
-63%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+64%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
6
364 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
345 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bretigny Foot vs Orléans II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bretigny Foot squeezed past Orléans II 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bretigny Foot as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bretigny Foot vs Orléans II?
Bretigny Foot 1-0 Orléans II in the France - National League 3 on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bretigny Foot vs Orléans II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bretigny Foot win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bretigny Foot 42%, draw 23%, Orléans II 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bretigny Foot) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bretigny Foot)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
25 Feb 2024