Saint-Etienne II 4-2 Lyon II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
35%
4-5
24%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Etienne II The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon II The Market 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +72% / +72%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +54%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
479 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne II
4-2
AWAY Lyon II
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Saint-Etienne II vs Lyon II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Etienne II got the better of Lyon II 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saint-Etienne II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saint-Etienne II had 44% of the ball to Lyon II's 56%, shots finished 12-17.

What was the final score of Saint-Etienne II vs Lyon II?

Saint-Etienne II 4-2 Lyon II in the France - National League 3 on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne II vs Lyon II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Etienne II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne II 43%, draw 28%, Lyon II 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Etienne II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Etienne II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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