25/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Vitry vs Linas-Montlhery Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
44%
2-3
34%
4-5
17%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
44%
Home Win
46%
31%
Draw
30%
25%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitry v Linas-Montlhery — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vitry
The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Linas-Montlhery
The Market 28%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
2
5
Corners
3
388 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
232 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Vitry vs Linas-Montlhery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vitry edged past Linas-Montlhery 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Vitry as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Vitry vs Linas-Montlhery?
Vitry 2-1 Linas-Montlhery in the France - National League 3 on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitry vs Linas-Montlhery?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitry win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vitry 44%, draw 31%, Linas-Montlhery 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitry) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Vitry)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
25 Feb 2024