Maritzburg United 3-0 Paarl United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 25 Feb 2024

Maritzburg United
3-0 HT 1-0
Paarl United
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
South Afrika - Cup – 2023/2024

Maritzburg United vs Paarl United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
No
38%
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
51%
4-5
27%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 62% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
61%
Home Win
70%
-9.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maritzburg United v Paarl United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritzburg United The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Paarl United The Market 14%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 160 · 63%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Maritzburg United 3-0 Paarl United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritzburg United
3-0
AWAY Paarl United
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Maritzburg United vs Paarl United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritzburg United swept aside Paarl United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maritzburg United as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Maritzburg United had 61% of the ball to Paarl United's 39%, shots finished 15-3.

What was the final score of Maritzburg United vs Paarl United?

Maritzburg United 3-0 Paarl United in the South Afrika - Cup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritzburg United vs Paarl United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritzburg United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Maritzburg United 61%, draw 22%, Paarl United 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritzburg United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maritzburg United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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