Kolombiya (K) 0-1 Brezilya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒06:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
28%
+9.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolombiya (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolombiya (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Brezilya (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 23
0 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 11
257 Passes 392
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.04.2018 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) AKUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolombiya (K)
0-1
AWAY Brezilya (K)
0.61 xG 1.42
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
240 Passes 169
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
12 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kolombiya (K) vs Brezilya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya (K) edged past Kolombiya (K) 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Brezilya (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kolombiya (K) had 56% of the ball to Brezilya (K)'s 44%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.61 to 1.42.

What was the final score of Kolombiya (K) vs Brezilya (K)?

Kolombiya (K) 0-1 Brezilya (K) in the CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolombiya (K) vs Brezilya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brezilya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya (K) 38%, draw 23%, Brezilya (K) 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brezilya (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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