Kerala Blasters 4-2 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 25 Feb 2024

Kerala Blasters
4-2 HT 0-2
FC Goa
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.06
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kerala Blasters v FC Goa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 50%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.15/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.23
+15% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
265 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
17.2 Crosses 20.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.3

Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerala Blasters
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Goa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.31 xG 1.41
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
242 Passes 357
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 1-0 HT 1-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
22.01.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 3-1 HT 2-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
13.11.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
06.03.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 4-4 HT 0-2 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
02.01.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-2 HT 2-2 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
23.01.2021 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL

Kerala Blasters 4-2 FC Goa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerala Blasters
4-2
AWAY FC Goa
2.22 xG 1.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerala Blasters saw off FC Goa 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Goa at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kerala Blasters had 52% of the ball to FC Goa's 48%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.22 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Goa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kerala Blasters and 2.00 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa?

Kerala Blasters 4-2 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kerala Blasters 26%, draw 26%, FC Goa 49%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Goa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Goa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →