25/02/2024
·
05:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
4-0
2nd Score
3-1
FC Tokyo vs Sagamihara Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
POST-MATCH
FC Tokyo vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FC Tokyo got the better of Sagamihara 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Tokyo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Sagamihara?
FC Tokyo 2-0 Sagamihara in the Friendlies on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Sagamihara?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 56%, draw 15%, Sagamihara 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tokyo), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (FC Tokyo)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZ
More Friendlies
25 Feb 2024