Varazdin U19 4-1 Mladost U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL Youth, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
47%
4-5
24%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
25%
+7.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varazdin U19 The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost U19 The Market 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varazdin U19
4-1
AWAY Mladost U19
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Varazdin U19 vs Mladost U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varazdin U19 ran out comfortable winners over Mladost U19 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mladost U19 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Varazdin U19 had 60% of the ball to Mladost U19's 40%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Varazdin U19 vs Mladost U19?

Varazdin U19 4-1 Mladost U19 in the Croatia - 1. HNL Youth on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varazdin U19 vs Mladost U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mladost U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Varazdin U19 32%, draw 24%, Mladost U19 43%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mladost U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mladost U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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