South China 3-1 Shatin SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.89
Over 2.5
65%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.5pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.0pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
31%
+3.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
69%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.6pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South China EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 24%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.11/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.69
+22% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South China
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Shatin SA
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
57% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-2 HT 0-1 South China South China HK2
21.05.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 0-3 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
16.10.2022 South China South China 1-2 HT 0-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South China
3-1
AWAY Shatin SA
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH South China vs Shatin SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South China got the better of Shatin SA 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had South China as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, South China had 50% of the ball to Shatin SA's 50%, shots finished 19-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shatin SA led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for South China and 1.67 for Shatin SA.

What was the final score of South China vs Shatin SA?

South China 3-1 Shatin SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South China vs Shatin SA?

Before kick-off our model rated a South China win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split South China 51%, draw 19%, Shatin SA 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South China), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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