Al Rayyan 2-1 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.73
2-3 Goals
38%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.2pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
2.19/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.86
+4% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
9.5 Crosses 13.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Rayyan
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Shamal
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 0.84
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
362 Passes 293
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 17
6 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
02.09.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3-4 HT 1-2 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
30.01.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
03.08.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
11.03.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
29.12.2021 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
2-1
AWAY Al Shamal
2.53 xG 1.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
435 Passes 342
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan squeezed past Al Shamal 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Rayyan as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 55% of the ball to Al Shamal's 45%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.53 to 1.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Rayyan's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Rayyan had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Rayyan and 1.33 for Al Shamal.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Al Shamal?

Al Rayyan 2-1 Al Shamal in the Qatar League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 53%, draw 25%, Al Shamal 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Rayyan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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