Berdenia Berbourg 1-0 Koeppchen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Luxembourg - Onur League, 25 Feb 2024

Berdenia Berbourg
1-0
Koeppchen
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Luxembourg - Onur League – 2023/2024

Berdenia Berbourg vs Koeppchen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
46%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
40%
4-5
14%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
37%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
46%
Away Win
36%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Berdenia Berbourg v Koeppchen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Berdenia Berbourg The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Koeppchen The Market 40%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Berdenia Berbourg vs Koeppchen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Berdenia Berbourg nicked a narrow win over Koeppchen 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Koeppchen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Berdenia Berbourg vs Koeppchen?

Berdenia Berbourg 1-0 Koeppchen in the Luxembourg - Onur League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Berdenia Berbourg vs Koeppchen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koeppchen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Berdenia Berbourg 29%, draw 26%, Koeppchen 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Koeppchen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Koeppchen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →