Pecsi MFC 0-1 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.36
Over 2.5
42%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.4pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
70%
-11.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
30%
+11.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pecsi MFC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
0.78/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.15
-34% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pecsi MFC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ajka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Ajka Ajka 0-2 HT 0-1 Pecsi MFC Pecsi MFC MAC2
16.04.2023 Ajka Ajka 1-0 HT 1-0 Pecsi MFC Pecsi MFC MAC2
22.10.2022 Pecsi MFC Pecsi MFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
20.02.2022 Ajka Ajka 1-0 HT 1-0 Pecsi MFC Pecsi MFC MAC2
22.08.2021 Pecsi MFC Pecsi MFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
28.04.2021 Pecsi MFC Pecsi MFC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pecsi MFC
0-1
AWAY Ajka
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pecsi MFC vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka nicked a narrow win over Pecsi MFC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Ajka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Pecsi MFC had 61% of the ball to Ajka's 39%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pecsi MFC and 0.50 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Pecsi MFC vs Ajka?

Pecsi MFC 0-1 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pecsi MFC vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pecsi MFC 32%, draw 29%, Ajka 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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