Vardar Skopje 2-0 Bregalnica Stip — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Makedonya - 1st Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
45%
-10.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vardar Skopje The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregalnica Stip The Market 32%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+64% / -78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vardar Skopje
2-0
AWAY Bregalnica Stip
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Stip
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vardar Skopje beat Bregalnica Stip 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Vardar Skopje made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vardar Skopje had 53% of the ball to Bregalnica Stip's 47%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Stip?

Vardar Skopje 2-0 Bregalnica Stip in the North Makedonya - 1st Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Stip?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bregalnica Stip win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vardar Skopje 35%, draw 28%, Bregalnica Stip 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bregalnica Stip) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bregalnica Stip) ✓ Under 2.5
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