Pharco 1-1 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.31
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.3pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pharco EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
0.79/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.73
-23% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
14.5 Crosses 14.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pharco
0W-2D-2L
AWAY El Geish
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.95 xG 0.69
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
343 Passes 166
78% Pass Accuracy 60%
15 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2023 El Geish El Geish 2-2 HT 1-1 Pharco Pharco MSR
04.01.2023 Pharco Pharco 1-1 HT 1-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
28.07.2022 Pharco Pharco 0-1 HT 0-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
21.02.2022 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pharco
1-1
AWAY El Geish
1.43 xG 0.48
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
242 Passes 193
70% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pharco vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pharco and El Geish couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Pharco had 54% of the ball to El Geish's 46%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.43 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, El Geish led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Pharco and 1.25 for El Geish.

What was the final score of Pharco vs El Geish?

Pharco 1-1 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pharco vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated an El Geish win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pharco 30%, draw 30%, El Geish 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (El Geish), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Geish) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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