Deportivo Ocotal 3-2 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.94/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.04
-39% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Ocotal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Matagalpa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-0 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
01.09.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
05.04.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 0-1 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
13.02.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
28.10.2022 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
07.08.2022 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-1 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Ocotal vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Ocotal squeezed past Matagalpa 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Ocotal as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Ocotal and 1.00 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Deportivo Ocotal vs Matagalpa?

Deportivo Ocotal 3-2 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Ocotal vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Ocotal win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Ocotal 42%, draw 24%, Matagalpa 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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