Lobi Stars 1-0 Heartland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Heartland EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.49/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.83
-7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
482 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobi Stars
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Heartland
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17.02.2022 Heartland Heartland 1-0 HT 0-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
15.02.2021 Heartland Heartland 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
POST-MATCH Lobi Stars vs Heartland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobi Stars nicked a narrow win over Heartland 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lobi Stars as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Heartland led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Lobi Stars and 1.50 for Heartland.

What was the final score of Lobi Stars vs Heartland?

Lobi Stars 1-0 Heartland in the Nigeria NPFL on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobi Stars vs Heartland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Lobi Stars 56%, draw 27%, Heartland 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lobi Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lobi Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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