Arka Gdynia 5-1 Stal Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 20%
-12% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.70/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.54
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
455 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 2-3 HT 2-3 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
07.05.2023 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 2-1 HT 2-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
09.10.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-2 HT 2-2 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
5-1
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
65% Ball Possession 35%
26 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia swept aside Stal Rzeszow 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 65% of the ball to Stal Rzeszow's 35%, shots finished 26-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arka Gdynia and 2.00 for Stal Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow?

Arka Gdynia 5-1 Stal Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 53%, draw 23%, Stal Rzeszow 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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