Mafra 0-0 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 25 Feb 2024

Mafra
0-0 HT 0-0
Maritimo
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Mafra vs Maritimo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.9
6+ Goals
11%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 31% vs market 27.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mafra v Maritimo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.27/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.08
+5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.7 Crosses 16.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.6

Mafra vs Maritimo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Maritimo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.60 xG 0.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
373 Passes 261
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Maritimo Maritimo 1-2 HT 1-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
15.10.2022 Mafra Mafra 4-2 HT 1-1 Maritimo Maritimo POK
28.07.2018 Maritimo Maritimo 3-0 HT 1-0 Mafra Mafra PORLC

Mafra 0-0 Maritimo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
0-0
AWAY Maritimo
0.81 xG 0.62
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
344 Passes 196
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mafra vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra and Maritimo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Maritimo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mafra had 59% of the ball to Maritimo's 41%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.81 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mafra had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mafra and 2.00 for Maritimo.

What was the final score of Mafra vs Maritimo?

Mafra 0-0 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mafra 31%, draw 28%, Maritimo 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maritimo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ Under 2.5
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