FCSB 3-2 Botosani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.91
Over 2.5
59%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.42
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.47
6+ Goals
13%
13.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.47 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-9.0pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.1pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.4pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Botosani EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.68/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.87
+8% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Botosani
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 Passes 315
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Botosani Botosani 0-1 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
19.12.2022 FCSB FCSB 1-0 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
08.12.2022 Botosani Botosani 0-2 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROMK
01.12.2022 Botosani Botosani 2-3 HT 1-2 FCSB FCSB ROM
21.11.2021 FCSB FCSB 3-1 HT 0-1 Botosani Botosani ROM
15.07.2021 Botosani Botosani 0-0 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
3-2
AWAY Botosani
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Botosani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB squeezed past Botosani 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, FCSB had 50% of the ball to Botosani's 50%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FCSB and 0.50 for Botosani.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Botosani?

FCSB 3-2 Botosani in the Romania - 1st Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Botosani?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split FCSB 62%, draw 21%, Botosani 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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25 Feb 2024
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