25/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Etincelles vs Sunrise Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No Pick
55%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
45%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
39%
23%
Draw
26%
37%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Etincelles v Sunrise — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Etincelles
The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sunrise
The Market 39%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-54% /
-54%
1.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/2.00
-14%
/
-37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-59%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
173 · 62%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
250 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Etincelles vs Sunrise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Etincelles and Sunrise shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Etincelles vs Sunrise?
Etincelles 2-2 Sunrise in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Etincelles vs Sunrise?
Before kick-off our model rated a Etincelles win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Etincelles 40%, draw 23%, Sunrise 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Etincelles), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Etincelles)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
RUA
More Ruanda - National Futbol League
25 Feb 2024