25/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Gorilla vs Bugesera Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over Pick
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
37%
4-5
26%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
56%
Home Win
66%
19%
Draw
20%
26%
Away Win
15%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gorilla v Bugesera — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gorilla
The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bugesera
The Market 18%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
438 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
326 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Gorilla vs Bugesera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gorilla and Bugesera shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
This one beat our numbers. Gorilla carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Gorilla vs Bugesera?
Gorilla 1-1 Bugesera in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gorilla vs Bugesera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gorilla win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Gorilla 56%, draw 19%, Bugesera 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gorilla), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Gorilla)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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RUA
More Ruanda - National Futbol League
25 Feb 2024