Zonguldak Kömürspor 2-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zonguldak Kömürspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.87/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.36
-29% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zonguldak Kömürspor
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 HT 1-0 Zonguldak Kömürspor S2-B
19.03.2023 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-2 HT 0-1 Zonguldak Kömürspor S2-K
05.10.2022 Zonguldak Kömürspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-K
17.10.2021 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-2 HT 0-2 Zonguldak Kömürspor S2-B
28.09.2014 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-2 HT 1-2 Zonguldak Kömürspor S3-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zonguldak Kömürspor
2-1
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zonguldak Kömürspor edged past Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Zonguldak Kömürspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zonguldak Kömürspor had 43% of the ball to Karacabey Belediye Spor's 57%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zonguldak Kömürspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Zonguldak Kömürspor and 1.00 for Karacabey Belediye Spor.

What was the final score of Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Zonguldak Kömürspor 2-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zonguldak Kömürspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Zonguldak Kömürspor 36%, draw 31%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zonguldak Kömürspor) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zonguldak Kömürspor) ✗ Under 2.5
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