Juvenes / Dogana 2-1 Tre Fiori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — San Marino - Şampiyona, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
7.18
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
44%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
No Pick
65%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
48%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
11%
+20.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
45%
Away Win
68%
-23.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juvenes / Dogana The Market 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Tre Fiori The Market 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
226 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 543 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Juvenes / Dogana vs Tre Fiori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juvenes / Dogana nicked a narrow win over Tre Fiori 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tre Fiori at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Juvenes / Dogana vs Tre Fiori?

Juvenes / Dogana 2-1 Tre Fiori in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juvenes / Dogana vs Tre Fiori?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tre Fiori win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Juvenes / Dogana 32%, draw 24%, Tre Fiori 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tre Fiori) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SANM More San Marino - Şampiyona
25 Feb 2024
17:01 Tre Penne vs Cosmos Analysis →