25/02/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Generation Foot vs Stade de Mbour Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
52%
24%
Draw
29%
38%
Away Win
19%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Generation Foot v Stade de Mbour — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Generation Foot
The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Stade de Mbour
The Market 22%
-20% /
-20%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+21%
/
-7%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
367 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
241 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Generation Foot vs Stade de Mbour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Generation Foot and Stade de Mbour shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Generation Foot vs Stade de Mbour?
Generation Foot 1-1 Stade de Mbour in the Senegal - 1st Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Generation Foot vs Stade de Mbour?
Before kick-off our model rated a Generation Foot win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Generation Foot 38%, draw 24%, Stade de Mbour 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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