25/02/2024
·
15:35
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Al Najoom vs Al Suqoor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
66%
No
34%
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
47%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 66% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
58%
25%
Draw
24%
28%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Najoom v Al Suqoor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Najoom
The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Suqoor
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+19% /
+19%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
-35%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
335 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
284 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Najoom vs Al Suqoor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Suqoor swept aside Al Najoom 4-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Al Najoom at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (66%) missed.
What was the final score of Al Najoom vs Al Suqoor?
Al Najoom 0-4 Al Suqoor in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Najoom vs Al Suqoor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najoom win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Najoom 47%, draw 25%, Al Suqoor 28%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Najoom), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Najoom)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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SUUD2
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25 Feb 2024